Wednesday, November 17, 2010

It aint over till the cow says MOO!

Week #8
In the final week of the game, we decided to hold onto the stocks we acquired during the prior week, until Friday when our portfolios needed to be liquidated. As it turns out, we should have liquidated earlier in the week. As the week went on, the stock prices continued to drop, but in hopes that the markets may turn around in time, we continued to hold onto the stocks.

We had our ups and downs throughout the course of this game, good decisions, bad decisions, once accidently short selling and another time choosing the wrong stock to short sell. We held a few stocks too long, and sold a few stocks too soon. We had a few hesitations when it came to buying, which lead to us to not make all of the money we potentially could have.  A major shift in our strategy at the end of week five which, if only momentarily, did turn the game around for us and showed us the effects of volatile markets. 
The results of our decisions lead us to rank place 9th in the US market with $106,140.90 and 22nd in the Canadian markets with $99,767.54. We are happy with our results in the US market however we are not pleased with the results in the Canadian market, but hey, this was our first try at beating the markets. It was a learning experience.  We now have a better understanding of what our “strategy” was, and how we will apply ourselves next semester.
Focusing on an economic event affecting the stock markets we looked at the United States investigation of President Obama.  There has been a great deal of speculation that the President has been on a spending spree and is pushing the US to bankruptcy.  The US midterm election indicates that their people are up in arms about the state of their economy, their jobs, their lives, and their future.  This has been felt in the markets as the nation is losing faith in the economy’s ability to recover. Many Americans remain optimistic regarding economic recovery, as they understand these things do not happen overnight.

These foresights have caused the US market to fluctuate rapidly, which for a buy sell strategy is good. Understanding how the US market would react on a day to day basis was the main obstacle we faced. In hindsight the US was not the best place to be. The Canadian markets were more stable, as our economy has been recovering at a steady pace. Canadians have faith in its recovery, and this reflects the behaviour of the market. Bottom line the game is over and we rolled the dice. We milked the market and our best efforts were not felt
Terms:
Cowboy Marketing

What Does Cowboy Marketing Mean?
A slang term to describe a situation in which a company is unaware that a marketer hired to produce legitimate opted-in email campaigns is actually using mass spam emails to promote the company's stock. This is a very unethical practice because marketers are often compensated with 
stock options, allowing them to capitalize on the unfounded demand they create for the stock they are promoting.

Investopedia explains Cowboy Marketing
This situation occurs when the marketer values its own interest over those of its client. Smart investors should not pay attention to spam emails and/or the stocks they promote. Buying these stocks will more often than not result in losing money because once the stock's price rises, the unscrupulous parties involved will cash out, causing it to plummet and leaving legitimate investors with losses.

Doomsday Call

What Does Doomsday Call Mean?
A call provision added to fixed income securities that allows for early redemption by the issuer if certain conditions are favorable.

Investopedia explains Doomsday Call
Also known as Canada calls, these provisions are typically found on corporate debt issues made by Canadian corporations. With a doomsday call provision, issuers are able to redeem at either par value upon maturity of the fixed income security or at a predetermined rate which is usually a benchmark +/- basis points

Moofer

What Does Moofer Mean?
An employee working outside of typical office settings. The word "moofer" stands for "mobile out of office worker," and this type of worker is becoming more common as communication technology continues to improve. Moofers can generally work anywhere where there is access to a wi-fi connection.

Investopedia explains Moofer
Some examples of moofers include Internet entrepreneurs that can work from a laptop, bloggers, columnists, etc. It can also refer to people that have to be mobile as part of their job, like consultants, reporters or business people that frequently have to go out to make deals or meet clients.


Out With The Old In With The Moooooooo!

Week #7
After one week of the Moo Cows switching their leadership from the “male mind” over to the “female mind”, the rankings each day have clearly begun to show when the shift occurred. That the change was very much needed, however it may be too late for the Moo Cows to make a run for the top spot this late in the game.
By the time Friday rolled around, and the team had gone a full week under the new leadership, we had managed to move ourselves out of the bottom 3 slots in the rankings, and are now sitting in 7th and 11th in the US and Canadian markets, respectively.
The new game plan that we devised, since there is only a little over a week to go, was to spend the remaining money in our accounts in order to hopefully make as much money as we could before having to liquidate our accounts. Wednesday was the day we decided to put our plan into action, and went a little crazy, making 11 buys. Our Canadian portfolio was the one that we felt needed the most attention. So far, so good.

We also had decided to attempt another short sell a week ago… on purpose this time. We bought Newmont Mining Corp. and almost immediately began to see the stock price rise. Not what we wanted to see. We were beginning to think that we may never see the stock back in the green and may have failed to make a profitable short sell once again. So, when to our surprise, we checked our portfolio to discover it had fallen below the price we had bought at, we made no hesitation and covered it. Even if that meant we still lost money after the commission costs.
We are happy with the results we’ve managed to achieve in the past week and hope to continue moving in the same direction during the last week of the game.

Monday, November 8, 2010

Week #6
Holy cow! Over the weekend Equinox announced their takeover of Austrian company citadel mines. Based on previous observations of companies stock performance prior to takeover announcements, we think EQN.TO will go up.
First short stock of the game for us is Newmont Mining Corporation. We have been watching their stock price for the past month and it shows declining trend which we intent to capitalize on.
Sold Evertz Technologies and cut our losses. Unfortunately we do not have time to wait for bad investment decisions to turn good. We need to allocate our cash where it will grow now. This is becoming increasingly important as the end of the game draws near.
Sold American Potash company CF Industry Holdings for which grew by $2 since we purchased it last week. Also sold Potash One Corporation, which was looking like the worst decision we have made yet, made a massive gain of 18% in one day. That brought our Canadian account back into the green in one day. We are really pleased with this as it was looking like we were going to take a BIG loss on the sale of KCL.TO.
We bought Barrick for $47.39/share and sold for $49.02/share the next day. Moo.
Looking to re build our Canadian portfolio and bring ourselves out of 25th place in the rankings we have been on a selling spree. XGD.TO, not doing anything = time to go SELL. EQN.TO, take over boosting performance = mistake SELL.
Taking on a different approach, we decided to look into everyday businesses. Our pride is Mexican Wal Mart. With the Canadian government redecorating their cabinet and the US looking at President Obama under a microscope, Mexico looks to have the only stable government in North America. We also purchased Western Energy which happens to be owned by my landlord. This company was just purchased and is under renovation so were holding on to this for as long as we can. Thinking of Christmas season we also purchased shares in Sears to get the holiday cheer!
MOOOOOOO